Red Sox: 3 reasons why Boston will win the AL East in 2022

BOSTON, MASSACHUSETTS - OCTOBER 11: Enrique Hernandez #5 of the Boston Red Sox celebrates his game winning sacrifice fly with teammates in the ninth inning against the Tampa Bay Rays during Game 4 of the American League Division Series at Fenway Park on October 11, 2021 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Winslow Townson/Getty Images)
BOSTON, MASSACHUSETTS - OCTOBER 11: Enrique Hernandez #5 of the Boston Red Sox celebrates his game winning sacrifice fly with teammates in the ninth inning against the Tampa Bay Rays during Game 4 of the American League Division Series at Fenway Park on October 11, 2021 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Winslow Townson/Getty Images) /
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BOSTON, MA – OCTOBER 20: Chris Sale #41 of the Boston Red Sox delivers during the third inning of game five of the 2021 American League Championship Series against the Houston Astros at Fenway Park on October 20, 2021 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Billie Weiss/Boston Red Sox/Getty Images)
BOSTON, MA – OCTOBER 20: Chris Sale #41 of the Boston Red Sox delivers during the third inning of game five of the 2021 American League Championship Series against the Houston Astros at Fenway Park on October 20, 2021 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Billie Weiss/Boston Red Sox/Getty Images) /

The Red Sox starting pitching needs to stay healthy

This is the biggest question mark heading into the season for the Sox. We know how the rotation is going to shake out starting this upcoming Thursday in The Bronx: Nathan Eovaldi, Nick Pivetta, Tanner Houck, Michael Wacha, and Rich Hill. Chris Sale was just placed on the 60-day injured list so we know he will not be returning until at least June. James Paxton is in the same boat as Sale returning sometime in June while he recovers from Tommy John surgery.

Eovaldi, Pivetta, and Houck held their own last year. All three were reliable starters for the Sox during their run to the postseason. Eovaldi’s record was 11-9 in 182.1 innings pitched with 195 strikeouts, a 3.75 ERA, and led the league in games started with 32 and a 2.79 FIP. Those numbers led him to his first All-Star Game appearance.

Pivetta showed flashes of dominance last season that eventually led to a 9-8 record in 155 innings pitched with 175 strikeouts and a 4.53 ERA. He needs to work on his control (65 walks last year) to cut down on runs allowed. If he does that, he will be a great number 3 or 4 starter once Sale and Paxton come back.

Houck has the firepower to do well this season if given the opportunity which it looks like he is going to get to start the season. Last year, he pitched to a 1-5 record in 69 innings pitched with 87 innings and a 3.52 ERA.

Both Wacha and Hill have the opportunity to have bounce-back seasons with the Sox. Wacha pitched to a 3-5 record in 124.2 innings with 121 strikeouts and a 5.05 ERA in 29 appearances. Hill pitched to a combined 7-8 record in 158.2 innings with 150 strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA in 32 appearances with both the New York Mets and Tampa Bay Rays. Both of these players have enough experience to come into Fenway and excel at the back end of the rotation.

If these five can stay healthy enough and get the job done until Sale and Paxton rejoin to provide more depth to the rotation, they will be set up for success.