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Trading Franklin Arias would do more for the Red Sox's roster than net elite talent

It's a risk Boston should take.
ByColin Keane
Franklin Arias.
Franklin Arias. | Rob Tringali/GettyImages

With Franklin Arias being the No. 2-ranked prospect in all of MLB, it might sound ridiculous to argue that the Boston Red Sox should trade him. But with Arias' stock as a prospect unlikely to ever be higher than it is right now, Boston has multiple reasons to cash in on that stock and deal Arias this offseason.

The main reason is this: In recent years, the Red Sox have relied far too much on young prospects to come in and be saviors for the club. It's happened more with position players — look at the massive expectations that Boston's "Big Three" had thrown upon their shoulders, referring of course to Roman Anthony, Marcelo Mayer, and Kristian Campbell (Kyle Teel was originally a member of this group before the Garrett Crochet trade sent him to the Chicago White Sox).

Only Anthony can be said to have "delivered" on those expectations, but you could easily argue that he hasn't, due to his durability issues. Mayer's been traded, and Campbell's development has taken plenty of wacky (and negative) turns in the past year or two.

Relying on prospects in their early 20s to come in and impact winning at the highest level? That's not a robust blueprint to build a franchise around. Sure, working in one or two prospects to the roster as role players to start is what most franchises have success with. But thrusting those prospects into the superstar limelight and expecting them to carry the fortunes of the organization right away? That's not a wise way of doing business, which leads us back to Arias.

The Red Sox should trade Franklin Arias rather than make him another young savior

This is not to say that the Red Sox would be expecting Arias to come in and play like an All-Star from the get-go, but on the whole, the Sox do not need to get any younger. What they do need is another established veteran or two to come in and help stabilize the lineup and the clubhouse. Willson Contreras stepped up as a veteran leader and Boston's biggest bat in 2026, but it needs more of that from another vet, someone more impactful than Trevor Story.

And speaking of Story, his 10-5 rights will make him difficult to trade, which is another reason why trading Arias makes sense. Sure, Arias could ostensibly play alongside Story in the Red Sox infield next season (with Story at second base, perhaps), but then Boston would have somewhat of an infield logjam with Curtis Mead being the odd man out. DH Mead, now you have a logjam there, and so on, and so forth.

Without getting lost in the weeds of those theoreticals, the main point here is that trading Arias at his current peak value could allow Boston to bring in some more established pros, thereby changing their team-building model of recent years that has relied too heavily on young saviors like Anthony or Mayer.

Could this plan backfire if Arias goes on to become a Hall of Famer? Of course, but you can say that about a lot of top prospects. MassLive's Chris Cotillo brought up Phillies GM Dave Dombrowski this week when discussing this Arias situation. According to Cotillo, Dombrowski's always been willing to trade prospects (even the best ones) for sure things, a philosophy that Cotillo wishes the Red Sox would embrace more these days ... starting with an Arias trade.

Boston's chief baseball officer Craig Breslow has been willing to trade young pitchers in this Dombrowski style brought up by Cotillo, but Breslow's been less willing to do so with position players. He could change that blueprint by packaging Arias in a huge deal this winter to make the Red Sox a more viable contender next season.

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