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Red Sox's Payton Tolle deserves place in AL ROY conversation, but probably won’t get it

Boston Red Sox v Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox v Toronto Blue Jays | Vaughn Ridley/GettyImages

Despite Caleb Durbin's August 13 grand slam that gave his team all the offense it needed to win, Payton Tolle was the star of the game for the Boston Red Sox. Against the Toronto Blue Jays, Tolle cruised through eight innings to stop the Red Sox's five-game skid in its tracks.

The lefty kept the Blue Jays off the scoreboard over his eight innings of action and allowed just two hits all game. He retired 17 straight Blue Jays through the end of his appearance. Tolle only fanned four batters and walked two in a stark contrast to his 14-strikeout outing against the Athletics last week, but he kept the Jays dumbfounded to carry his team to a victory that staved off a sweep.

His outing in Toronto is the latest of a dominant few weeks. He's posted a 2.21 ERA with 54 strikeouts over his last seven stars and a 1.35 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, 25 strikeouts and four walks over 20 innings since the start of August.

Most rookie starters who have embedded themselves into the rotation and posted a 2.97 ERA over 20 starts through mid-August would probably end up at the forefront of their league's Rookie of the Year (ROY) competition — Red Sox fans will tell you Tolle deserves the consideration. But in the 2026 class, Tolle might not even crack the top five American League ROY favorites.

Payton Tolle deserves ROY recognition as staple of Red Sox's rotation, but this year's class is dominated by excellent hitters

The AL Central is absolutely loaded with young talent this year. The ROY award seems almost certain to go to Detroit Tigers phenom, Kevin McGonigle, who made his team's Opening Day roster and hasn't stopped delivering at the plate since. He's slashing .286/.390/.426 with 21 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 48 RBI. His eye for the strike zone is impeccable and his 13.8 strikeout percentage and 14.2 walk percentage rank in the 89th and 94th percentiles, respectively.

The Cleveland Guardians have two ROY candidates in right fielder Chase DeLauter (.285/.359/.445 slash line in 104 games) and Australian second baseman Travis Bazzana (.239/.336/.380 slash line over 88 games). The latter has slumped in the last few weeks, but between the two, DeLauter always had the advantage.

Munetaka Murakami of the Chicago White Sox is also in the conversation (.234/.367/.531 slash line in 85 games) thanks to his 26 home runs, which are tied for the 11th-most in the league. He's missed some time due to injury and he's already struck out 123 times, two factors that work against him among such fierce competition.

The Toronto Blue Jays' Kazuma Okamoto has also been floated in the ROY conversation (.226/.301/.430 slash line over 118 games), as Masataka Yoshida was in his MLB debut year. But Okamoto is 30 and a veteran of Japan's Nippon Professional Baseball league, so it's hard to see voters imagining him as a true rookie alongside the rest of his competition.

Whether Tolle places in the AL ROY race or not, Red Sox fans are aware he's a game-changer. McGonigle seems like a lock for the award but Tolle has done well to make his presence known among a shockingly good ROY class.

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