Yankees vs. Red Sox prediction and odds for Saturday, June 17 (Boston undervalued against banged up New York)

Jun 16, 2023; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Boston Red Sox designated hitter Justin Turner (2)
Jun 16, 2023; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Boston Red Sox designated hitter Justin Turner (2) / Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Red Sox continue to make up ground in the competitive AL East by knocking down its rival the New York Yankees, who are still trying to tread water with Aaron Judge on the mend.

Boston will hope that its potent offense can keep humming after hanging 15 runs on the Yankees on Friday night, can the team get the better of Clark Schmidt and outpace the banged up New York offense again?

Here are the odds for Saturday's matchup from Fenway Park:

Yankees vs. Red Sox odds, run line and total

Yankees vs. Red Sox prediction and pick

I hammer home this stat consistently, but its worth repeating: The Yankees are 9-12 without the reigning AL MVP Judge and are hitting only .215 in those games. The team lacks enough pop in the lineup to keep up against the elite offenses, and I'll continue to fade them until Judge is back.

Boston is a top 10 offense on the year, and it's kept up in June with the team posting the ninth highest OPS in baseball and just outside the top 10 in runs scored. For reference, the Yankees have the third lowest OPS and fourth fewest runs scored this month.

The Red Sox should also get a fine start form emerging rotation piece Brayan Bello, who hasn't allowed more than three earned runs since his first start of the season. If you take out that first start against the Angels, Bello has a 3.08 ERA and is limiting foes to a sub-.300 on-base percentage.

These two teams aren't near equals on a neutral field right now, back the Red Sox with confidence.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.