Red Sox vs. Twins prediction and odds for Wednesday, June 21

Jun 20, 2023; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA;  Boston Red Sox infielder Christian Arroyo (39) runs to
Jun 20, 2023; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Boston Red Sox infielder Christian Arroyo (39) runs to / Nick Wosika-USA TODAY Sports
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The Boston Red Sox may be in last place in the AL East, but with a 39-35 record they're still very much in the thick of the playoff race.

They've won six straight games heading into today's action, and can lock up the series win with a victory over the Minnesota Twins. They won the first two games by a combined score of 19-7.

Let's dive into the odds for today's third game and then I'll give you my best bet.

Red Sox vs. Twins odds, run line, and total

Red Sox vs. Twins prediction and pick

The Red Sox offense has been red hot lately, but I think this might be a good time to take the UNDER.

Boston has to take on one of the best pitchers in the Majors this season in Sonny Gray, who sports a 2.37 ERA on the year. What's even more impressive than his ERA is his 2.56 FIP, which is the best mark in the American League.

He's also giving up just 0.1 home runs per nine innings pitched, so no long balls by the Red Sox today should leader to a lower scoring game.

It's also worth noting that the Twins offense has been amongst the worst in the majors over the last 30 days. Over that time span, they rank 24th in both OPS (.690) and batting average (.228).

They're also 27th in total runs scored over their last 30 games, managing just 98 total runs.

While the Red Sox should find a way to win this game, I think the UNDER is the right bet to place.