Red Sox vs. Giants prediction and odds for Sunday, July 30 (Trust Casas and Boston)

The Red Sox have been on-fire offensively behind their red-hot first baseman and that should be enough to carry then on a bullpen day in San Francisco.
Boston Red Sox first baseman Triston Casas (36)
Boston Red Sox first baseman Triston Casas (36) / Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports

It’s been a good month for the Boston Red Sox but they’ll need to win today to finish it with a series win over the San Francisco Giants. Yesterday, San Francisco somehow slowed down the Boston offense in a 3-2 win for the Giants who are now 57-48 and in second place in the NL West. The Red Sox are 56-48 and are fourth in the AL East. 

The series finale will be a battle of bullpens as both teams will hand the ball to relievers to start the game. Brennan Bernardino will take the mound for Boston first against Scott Alexander. 

Let’s get into the odds for this interleague matchup out on the West Coast. 

Red Sox vs. Giants odds, run line and total

Red Sox vs. Giants prediction and pick

This month has been all about the bats for Boston, but the bullpen has been very impressive too. In July the Red Sox are fourth in bullpen ERA at 2.99 which is a huge improvement from their 3.97 ERA coming into the month which ranked 15th. That bullpen provides a slight advantage over San Francisco's which ranks seventh for the season, but 11th this month. 

Really, the Red Sox don’t want it to come down to a pitcher’s duel or a battle of bullpens either way. They want to hit a few balls into McCovey Cove and get on a plane up to Seattle. If anyone will hit a ball into the water it’ll probably be Tristan Casas who has turned into one of the best hitters in baseball since the all-star break. Since the break he has a 1.546 OPS with seven home runs in 40 at-bats. He’s simply on fire and has turned the Boston lineup into a bit of a juggernaut. 

The Red Sox are first in team OPS this month at .837 despite only having 29 home runs which ranks 15th. They’re hitting .291 which leads baseball and have Rafael Devers and Connor Wong both hitting over .300 while Casas is at .425 since the all-star break. 

The Giants stole one yesterday, but Boston has really turned it on lately and I’ll back the Red Sox on the road this afternoon. 

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change