3 Red Sox prospects who should not be traded and 3 who should

It is pretty clear that the Boston Red Sox find themselves in a bit of trouble as we head into the midpoint of the 2023 season. On the surface, a record hovering around .500 isn’t the end of the world and in most divisions in the American League, it would have you in very reasonable striking distance.

Unfortunately, that isn’t really the case in the AL East which has proven to be absolutely loaded this year. The Rays got off to their crazy start and while maintaining that pace was always unsustainable, they are not showing signs of fading too much, either. The Orioles are loaded with young talent that is already challenging for a playoff spot. The Yankees seem like they are vulnerable, but are still hanging around and are always dangerous. Even the Blue Jays are a pretty good team even with some underperformance so far this season.

That leaves Boston in the cellar looking up at a division that seems to be leaving them behind. Unlike most basement-dwelling teams, though, the Red Sox have some things going for them. The offense is still one of the better ones in the division and the bullpen has been quite good as well. It all comes down to whether or not they can get their rotation troubles sorted out quickly and severely enough to put together a run.

Which prospects should the Red Sox keep and which ones should they trade?

This is easier said than done because 1) Boston probably needs multiple arms and 2) they are going to have a lot of competition as the trade deadline approaches as a lot of teams could use starting pitching. Boston is going to have to pony up to get guys that can help them in 2023 (and that includes useful rentals) so they are going to have to do a serious accounting of which prospects need to stay and which ones the organization can part with.

Here is a look at some prospects the Red Sox need to hang on to as part of their future and some that they could part with come the trade deadline.

The Red Sox should keep Marcelo Mayer

In all of these trade discussions that are being had as we speak, it is an absolute certainty that other teams are trying to pry Marcelo Mayer away and with good reason. The combination of his pure hitting ability and strong defense at a premium position rightly has him as the best prospect in the Red Sox farm system and a top 5-10 prospect in all of baseball. 

This does raise an interesting question, though, because Boston has done pretty well to stockpile interesting bats in the minor leagues that can up the middle in the dirt and, well, you don’t need to keep all of them. However, Mayer is a really good defender that seems likely to stay at short and even if he eventually needs to shift over to second or third, the upside here is too great to give up willingly. No team should say NEVER to trading a prospect, but the return would have to be pretty significant to entertain giving up Mayer.

The Red Sox should trade Miguel Bleis

This is a tougher one because in order to get quality players in return, Boston is going to have to give up high quality players with upside to get them and Miguel Bleis certainly fits the bill. His numbers in low-A don’t show it, but Bleis has the potential to be a tantalizing combination of power and speed that earned him a $1.5 million signing bonus as an international free agent.

The biggest issue here is that he got hurt and is going to have to undergo shoulder surgery which is going to create a risk of selling low on him. He is expected to be good to go for 2024, but that doesn’t mean that teams won’t try to ding his value. As a result, a trade involving moving Bleis needs to be one to a team that wants a longer term investment (Bleis isn’t close to the big leagues) and who is willing to bet on the value of his gaudy tools. If Boston finds a team that is in love with him, he can be the centerpiece of a deal for a player that can help them. If a team tries to get him put in deal as a throw-in, it should be a hard pass.

The Red Sox should keep Nick Yorke

The Red Sox shocked pretty much everyone when they picked Nick Yorke as an underslot pick in the 2020 draft. However, Yorke has made them look quite smart since then despite having a hiccup of a 2022 season in high-A as he dealt with several minor-ish injuries. This guy can flat out hit and he is off to a very hot start in Double-A in 2023 and could contribute in the big leagues sooner than people think.

Again, you can’t keep everyone and Boston has a bunch of up the middle types of guys and unlike Mayer, Yorke is limited defensively to basically second base or left field (and of course DH). However, the bat to ball skills with Yorke are too good to pass up on. If a starting pitcher with multiple years of control becomes available and Boston likes him enough, you probably have to include a guy like Yorke. Beyond that, they should keep him around.

The Red Sox should trade Roman Anthony

Roman Anthony is an interesting case because there is some real talent here. Anthony has some real raw power and hitting ability that is currently being masked in 2023 by a ground ball rate that is simply too high to get to any of it. Despite hitting for power, he isn’t a guy that sells out for it. He still maintains a high walk rate and he doesn’t strike out a lot. With an adjustment or two to turn these grounders into more line drives and fly balls, he could turn things around in a hurry.

That potential is what Boston would be selling teams on to use him as a trade chip of value. Moreover, Anthony is a guy that could be a key piece of a less major trade. Sure, he is a talented guy, but he doesn’t have the same level of pedigree that other guys we’ve discussed earlier and at the end of the day, Boston can’t keep all of these bats. He isn’t a throw-in kind of guy unless the trade is massive, but he is exactly the type of prospect that Boston should be looking to part with to make the big league club better.