3 Key players who might receive Qualifying Offers from the Red Sox

BOSTON, MA - MAY 16: J.D. Martinez #28 of the Boston Red Sox reacts after hitting an RBI double during the eighth inning of a game against the Houston Astros on May 16, 2022 at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Billie Weiss/Boston Red Sox/Getty Images)
BOSTON, MA - MAY 16: J.D. Martinez #28 of the Boston Red Sox reacts after hitting an RBI double during the eighth inning of a game against the Houston Astros on May 16, 2022 at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Billie Weiss/Boston Red Sox/Getty Images)
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The 2023 Boston Red Sox will be a very different team.

Hopefully, more successful, but a very different roster either way. Several players are set to reach free agency this winter, and most won’t be significant losses to the team. The Sox also have several club-controlled players whom they can use to make beneficial trades.

The Sox did extend Kiké Hernández another year, so he is no longer among the impending free agents. They can also extend a Qualifying Offer to any free agent who has never received one before in their career.

Here are three players who might get asked back…

Will the Red Sox make a Qualifying Offer to JD Martinez?

It’s hard to see the Sox bringing JD Martinez back when his contract expires.

In hindsight, Martinez should’ve opted out last year, when he was coming off a stellar bounce-back season in which he homered 28 times and tied for the MLB lead with a career-high 42 doubles. Instead, he opted in and has struggled all season, which doesn’t set him up for the same lucrative free agency showing he would’ve had last winter.

While he actually has a chance of surpassing last year’s doubles total (he’s up to 38), his drop in power has been alarming. Through 120 games, he’s homered only 11 times, his lowest count in a 162-game season since 2013.

As grateful as everyone is for what Martinez contributed to the team over his five seasons in Boston, the Sox should not bring him back. He’s 35, has some recurring injuries, and his DH/outfield role will be easily filled.

ANAHEIM, CALIFORNIA – JULY 06: Nathan Eovaldi #17 of the Boston Red Sox pitches against the Los Angeles Angels during the second inning at Angel Stadium of Anaheim on July 06, 2021 in Anaheim, California. (Photo by Michael Owens/Getty Images)
ANAHEIM, CALIFORNIA – JULY 06: Nathan Eovaldi #17 of the Boston Red Sox pitches against the Los Angeles Angels during the second inning at Angel Stadium of Anaheim on July 06, 2021 in Anaheim, California. (Photo by Michael Owens/Getty Images) /

Will the Red Sox make a Qualifying Offer to Nathan Eovaldi?

Nathan Eovaldi will go down in franchise history as one of, if not the best midseason trade they’ve ever made.

When the Sox acquired Eovaldi at the 2018 deadline, it was not an impressive trade. He’d never been particularly remarkable with the Dodgers, Marlins, or Yankees, and the Rays were happy to send him to Boston.

But when he arrived in Boston, he instantly proved every doubter wrong. Over 12 games in the regular season, he posted a 3.33 ERA. His first two starts were seven and eight-inning shutouts, the latter coming in the Sox’ famous four-game sweep of the Yankees after GM Brian Cashman’s now-famous ‘Do Damage’ comments.

He continued to prove himself in the postseason, and cemented himself as a Sox legend in the World Series, when he threw nearly 100 pitches in relief in Game 3. For six breathtaking innings, he held down the fort. Though the Sox ended up losing 3-2, his performance inspired his teammates to fight back to win the following two games to bring a trophy back to Boston.

Unfortunately, injuries have peppered his career since high school. He’s had Tommy John surgery twice. In 2019, he had another elbow surgery to remove a loose body from his pitching elbow. In 2020, a right calf strain landed him on the Injured List. In June of this year, he went on the IL with lower back inflammation, and he returned to the IL in late August with right shoulder inflammation.

Eovaldi has been a dominant workhorse and electric competitor for Boston, but he can’t pitch forever. With how many pitchers have gotten injured this year and the impact it caused on the team, it’s safe to assume the Sox won’t be eager to dole out offers to repeat this season next year.

BOSTON, MA – MAY 03: Michael Wacha #52 of the Boston Red Sox pitches in the second inning of a game against the Los Angeles Angels at Fenway Park on May 3, 2022 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Adam Glanzman/Getty Images)
BOSTON, MA – MAY 03: Michael Wacha #52 of the Boston Red Sox pitches in the second inning of a game against the Los Angeles Angels at Fenway Park on May 3, 2022 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Adam Glanzman/Getty Images) /

Will the Red Sox make a Qualifying Offer to Michael Wacha?

The Sox signed Michael Wacha to a one-year deal for the 2022 season, and he turned out to be a surprisingly great addition to the starting rotation.

Despite missing time due to injury (like most of his fellow pitchers), Wacha is having a stellar year. Over 19 starts, including a complete-game shutout, he has a 2.69 ERA and 1.028 WHIP.

If the Sox are going to extend a qualifying offer to Wacha or Eovaldi, the former has youth on his side. He just turned 31 years old in July, making him a couple of years younger than Eovaldi, who will turn 33 in February.

However, Wacha had several rough seasons before coming to Boston, which should give the front office rightful pause. Between 2017-21, he posted a 4.51 ERA, 4.49 FIP, and 1.388 WHIP over 111 games. Since arriving in Boston, Eovaldi has a 4.12 ERA, 3.76 FIP, and 1.277 WHIP 94 games.

The Sox may extend qualifying offers to both, one, or neither of their starters. Either way, they have enough money to play with this offseason to ensure that they can build a stronger rotation next season.

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