Boston Red Sox relief pitcher stat predictions for the 2022 season

BOSTON, MA - OCTOBER 05: Members of the Boston Red Sox bullpen look on before the 2021 American League Wild Card game between the Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees at Fenway Park on October 5, 2021 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Billie Weiss/Boston Red Sox/Getty Images)
BOSTON, MA - OCTOBER 05: Members of the Boston Red Sox bullpen look on before the 2021 American League Wild Card game between the Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees at Fenway Park on October 5, 2021 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Billie Weiss/Boston Red Sox/Getty Images)
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ARLINGTON, TEXAS – AUGUST 15: Jake Diekman #35 of the Oakland Athletics pitches against the Texas Rangers during the eighth inning at Globe Life Field on August 15, 2021 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Ron Jenkins/Getty Images)
ARLINGTON, TEXAS – AUGUST 15: Jake Diekman #35 of the Oakland Athletics pitches against the Texas Rangers during the eighth inning at Globe Life Field on August 15, 2021 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Ron Jenkins/Getty Images)

Red Sox relief pitcher: Jake Diekman

Let’s get this out of the way, Red Sox fans: You are going to get frustrated watching Jake Diekman pitch this year. The stuff is downright nasty: He pairs a mid-90s sinker with a knee-bending slider that induced batters to whiff 47% of the time. It’s no wonder why he ranked in the top ten percentile in both whiff percentage and strikeout percentage. When he’s on, it’s hard to see how anybody makes contact against the big lefty.

The problem is that those moments are few and far between. Far too often, Diekman has little idea where his offerings are going. He’s walked over 5.0 batters per nine innings every year since 2017, making it harder to trust him in high-leverage situations. He also had a problem with the gopher ball last year, allowing a 1.5 HR/9 rate that was nearly double his career-high.

Diekman’s performance this spring has done little to inspire confidence. He has allowed seven runs and walked six over just 3 2/3 innings, leading to a gaudy 17.18 ERA. Most worrisome is that his slider’s velocity has dropped from 83 miles per hour to 78. Some of this can be attributed to the shortened spring training, but any velocity drop that significant is cause for concern.

If Diekman is able to recapture his elite stuff, however, there are few more talented arms in the Red Sox bullpen. Walks and home runs are always going to be part of his game, but anyone who can generate swings-and-misses at such a high rate can be of use to a manager.

Stat Predictions: 3.54 ERA, 5.3 BB/9, 12.7 K/9

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