3 trades to fix the Boston Red Sox bullpen in 2022

MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - SEPTEMBER 18: Josh Hader #71 of the Milwaukee Brewers throws a pitch in the game against the Chicago Cubs at American Family Field on September 18, 2021 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Justin Casterline/Getty Images)
MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - SEPTEMBER 18: Josh Hader #71 of the Milwaukee Brewers throws a pitch in the game against the Chicago Cubs at American Family Field on September 18, 2021 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Justin Casterline/Getty Images)
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BOSTON, MA – AUGUST 1: Chris Sale #41 of the Boston Red Sox warms up in the bullpen before the game between the Boston Red Sox and the Cleveland Indians at Fenway Park on August 1, 2017 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images)
BOSTON, MA – AUGUST 1: Chris Sale #41 of the Boston Red Sox warms up in the bullpen before the game between the Boston Red Sox and the Cleveland Indians at Fenway Park on August 1, 2017 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images) /

The Red Sox biggest need right now is a high-leverage bullpen arm, or two

The Boston Red Sox exceeded nearly all expectations in 2021. But even while making a run at the American League pennant, the one area of the club that didn’t quite achieve those heights was the bullpen.

There were certainly bright spots over the course of 162 games, like the emergence of Garrett Whitlock and the two-month dominance of Josh Taylor. But storylines like the downfall of Matt Barnes after an All-Star first half, the ups and downs of Adam Ottavino, the injuries that plagued the likes of Ryan Brasier and Hirokazu Sawamura, and the inconsistencies of just about everyone else on the relief staff are what the 2021 Red Sox bullpen is remembered for. And rightfully so.

For 2022, that means opportunity to improve. As Red Sox chief baseball officer Chaim Bloom plans his next moves to ensure the organization fields a competitive team this season and for years to come, it is all but certain that addressing the needs in the bullpen are at the top of his list. And while names like Kenley Jansen, Andrew Chafin and Ryan Tepera remain on the open market, there’s a strong chance that Bloom could turn to the trade market to add a high-leverage arm or two.

Here are three possible trade candidates (and what it may take to acquire them) that Bloom and the Red Sox should consider to sure up the bullpen as soon as the MLB lockout ends.

SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA – AUGUST 30: Josh Hader #71 of the Milwaukee Brewers pitches against the San Francisco Giants in the bottom of the ninth inning at Oracle Park on August 30, 2021 in San Francisco, California. The Brewers won the game 3-1. (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)
SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA – AUGUST 30: Josh Hader #71 of the Milwaukee Brewers pitches against the San Francisco Giants in the bottom of the ninth inning at Oracle Park on August 30, 2021 in San Francisco, California. The Brewers won the game 3-1. (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images) /

Red Sox Trade Target: Josh Hader – LHP, Milwaukee Brewers

Josh Hader has been one of the best relief pitchers in baseball since making his debut with the Brewers in 2017. In 2021, Hader finished in the top 1% of the MLB for xBA, xSLG, wOBA, xwOBA, K% and xERA, per Baseball Savant. He’s been in the top 1% of the league for xBA each of the past four seasons, and for xERA in three of the past four.

Hader assumed the closing role for the Brewers during the 2018 season, making his first of three All-Star appearances thus far in his career and holding down the 9th inning for the Brew Crew ever since. He’s been top 5 in the majors in saves each of the last three seasons (34 last year, 13 in the shortened 2020, and 37 in 2019). Hader has a career 0.85 WHIP, 2.26 ERA and 44.4 K% over five seasons with Milwaukee.

What would a trade for Josh Hader look like?

Hader’s ability to lock down the 9th inning is undeniable, and he would instantly turn the Red Sox bullpen into a weapon for Alex Cora. But Milwaukee is not necessarily in a position to sell after winning the NL Central in 2021. Let’s not forget how they just sent two prospects along with Jackie Bradley Jr. to Boston in an effort to add more pop to their offense in the form of Hunter Renfroe, so the Red Sox would likely need to include a major league bat along with a prospect or two to pry Hader away.

Depending on what other moves Bloom makes when the lockout ends and with top prospect Triston Casas looking all but ready to take over first base in the near future, Alex Verdugo or Bobby Dalbec could become expendable. Packaging one of those two guys with a pitching prospect on the verge of breaking into the big leagues such as Connor Seabold, Josh Winckowski or Kutter Crawford could entice the Milwaukee front office to open conversations around their prized closer.

MINNEAPOLIS, MN – SEPTEMBER 30: Michael Fulmer #32 of the Detroit Tigers delivers a pitch against the Minnesota Twins in the ninth inning of the game at Target Field on September 30, 2021 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Tigers defeated the Twins 10-7. (Photo by David Berding/Getty Images)
MINNEAPOLIS, MN – SEPTEMBER 30: Michael Fulmer #32 of the Detroit Tigers delivers a pitch against the Minnesota Twins in the ninth inning of the game at Target Field on September 30, 2021 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Tigers defeated the Twins 10-7. (Photo by David Berding/Getty Images) /

Red Sox Trade Target: Michael Fulmer – RHP, Detroit Tigers

After being named AL Rookie of the Year in 2016 and being selected as an All-Star in 2017, Michael Fulmer’s promising start to his career tailed off as he went 1-6 with a 5.33 ERA in in the second half of 2017 and finished 2018 at 3-12 with a 4.69 ERA in 24 starts. Fulmer then underwent Tommy John surgery and missed all of 2019, before returning for the shortened 2020 season that saw him go 0-2 with an 8.78 ERA in 10 starts.

But Fulmer found new life in 2021 when Detroit moved him to the bullpen where he finished the season with a 2.97 ERA, 14 saves, 73 Ks and a 1.28 WHIP in 69.2 innings. And after signing Eduardo Rodriguez and Javy Baez to five- and six-year deals, respectively, and with 2020 first overall draft pick Spencer Torkelson expected to make his debut this season, the Tigers are likely to consider moving Fulmer for pieces that can help their team for years to come rather than risking the possibility of losing him to free agency after the season.

What would a trade for Michael Fulmer look like?

A trade for Fulmer would likely require one or two mid-level prospects – possibly an outfielder and/or an arm – that could contribute to the Tigers in the near future. Bloom has done a great job of rebuilding the Red Sox’ farm system, and they have a number of pieces that could entice the Tigers to move on from Fulmer this offseason. Perhaps the aforementioned Kutter Crawford (the Red Sox #27 prospect per SoxProspects.com) and defensive-minded outfielder Jeisson Rosario (#49 Red Sox prospect) could peak Detroit’s interest.

SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA – JULY 23: David Bednar #51 of the Pittsburgh Pirates pitches against the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park on July 23, 2021 in San Francisco, California. (Photo by Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images)
SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA – JULY 23: David Bednar #51 of the Pittsburgh Pirates pitches against the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park on July 23, 2021 in San Francisco, California. (Photo by Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images) /

Red Sox Trade Target: David Bednar – RHP, Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates acquired David Bednar from the Padres as part of the Joe Musgrove trade in January 2021, and his first full major league season saw him finish 8th in NL Rookie of the Year voting. Bednar posted a 2.23 ERA with a 0.97 WHIP in 60.2 innings out of the Pirates bullpen, and finished in the top 7% of the league for xBA, xSLG, wOBA, xwOBA, K% and xERA, per Baseball Savant.

The 27-year-old features a three-pitch mix consisting of a fastball that sits 96 – 97 MPH, a curveball, and a splitter. Bednar was the best reliever the Pirates had in 2021 and was a bright spot for an otherwise lowly Pittsburgh team that finished in the basement of the NL Central. Bednar will make $575K in 2022 and is under team control through the 2026 season.

What would a trade for David Bednar look like?

The Pirates don’t appear ready to compete in the near future, and while having a cost-controlled arm like Bednar’s in the bullpen is great, he can be better used as a trade chip to bring in talent that can help to expedite their rebuild process. A prospect or two that will better fit the timeline of when the Pirates should be able to contend with the rest of their division holds far more value than a reliever on a non-competitive team.

When Pittsburgh sent Jacob Stallings to Miami before the lockout went into effect, they further committed to rebuilding rather than contending in 2022. And after a strong rookie campaign, the time may never be better to get a return for Bednar.

The Red Sox have several intriguing prospects in the #25 – 35 organizational prospect rankings on SoxProspects.com, and also have tremendous organizational depth at the shortstop position after drafting Marcelo Mayer with the fourth overall pick in 2021, and recently signing both Fraymi De Leon and Freili Encarnacion as international free agents.

Within that 25 – 35 range on SoxProspects.com are three shortstops – David Hamilton, Matthew Lugo, and Christian Koss. With the uncertain future at the shortstop position in Pittsburgh, it’s possible one of these three and an additional lower tier prospect would be enough to land Bednar in Boston.

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