Both teams have outstanding closers and both teams have depth in their bullpens. New York has certainly been more consistent and is carrying a 2.1 fWAR while Boston comes in with a 1.5 fWAR. The Yankees are ranked first in the AL and the Red Sox second. Fans of both teams routinely complain about their bullpens without realizing how fortunate they are. Just look at the once proud Royals bullpen.
Is there difference makers? Chad Green despite a .345 BABIP has done an excellent job for the Yankees in April. Old hand David Robertson has been his usual self (.212 BABIP), but the ‘pen is posting a 12.70 K/9 and it is not all Aroldis Chapman. Just about the entire crew is into double digits on K/9. Dellin Betances and Tommy Kahnle have negatively affected the bullpen that has a 5-5 record.
The Red Sox have one big question mark that causes a stability issue and that is Carson Smith. Smith’s performance has forced more of a reliance on Matt Barnes, Joe Kelly, and Heath Hembree. The ongoing issue of Tyler Thornburg is of concern. Can he return? The big if is Smith and Thornburg.
April Edge: Yankees
Season End Prediction: Even thanks to Smith getting his groove back.