Red Sox Predictions: Travis Shaw trade ultimately won’t be a mistake

Aug 17, 2015; Milwaukee, WI, USA; General view of Miller Park during the sixth inning of the game between the Miami Marlins and Milwaukee Brewers. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Park factors

The Brewers currently lead Major League Baseball in home runs, which is nothing too out of the ordinary for the team that calls Miller Park home.

Since 2013, Miller Park has ranked in the top three in terms of Fangraphs’ home run park factors. In 2015, its home run factor for right-handed hitters ranked 3^rd at 110 (league-average is 100) while its home run factor for left-handed hitters ranked 4^th in the league at 114.

Fenway Park, on the other hand, ranked 11^th for right-handed hitters at 104, and 28^th for left-handed hitters at 89. Despite what the legendary David Ortiz would lead you to believe, Fenway is where lefty power hitters go to die unless they can make the opposite-field adjustment.

Shaw is reaping the benefits of one of the most drastic stadium changes possible for a lefty slugger. He hit 16 homers in 145 games as a member of the Red Sox in 2016, and currently sits at seven through 30 games. That’s on pace for almost 34 home runs in 145 games. Think he would do that at Fenway?

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