Red Sox Arizona Fall League Preview Part 1: The Pitchers

A preview of all the Red Sox pitching prospects who will be playing in this year’s Arizona Fall League whose season starts this week.

Each October with the playoffs in full swing, the top prospects in Major League Baseball gather in the Arizona Fall League for six weeks for game experience and to showcase their talents.  Since 1992, the AFL has served as a tool for gaining more reps to improve a player’s development, informing decisions on player retention, and as a  venue for displaying potential trade chips for offseason deals.  Each team sends a handful of players (seven in the Red Sox case) to one of the six league teams.  This year the Red Sox are playing for the Surprise Saguaros as they did last season.

Since there are seven players going to the AFL this season, splitting them into hitters and pitchers seems wise to present an article that doesn’t have so many slides you are not going to take the time to go through it.  For today’s article, we are going to focus on the pitchers for this year’s AFL contingent;   Trey Ball, Jalen Beeks, Jamie Callahan and Michael Kopech.  You will get a rundown of the scouting (based on soxprospects.com reports) on each player as well as where he came from and where he might be going.

It might not be too long before these guys are household names in the baseball world.  Former AFL MVPs Nolan Arenado (2011) and Kris Bryant (2013) are among the favorites for this season’s National League MVP.  Closer to home, late season Red Sox lefty specialist Robby Scott was an AFL Fall Star last season.

Let’s get started.

Trey Ball

Acquired: 2013 first round choice (seventh overall) out of high school in Indiana

DOB:  6-27-94

Ht: 6-6  Wt. 185  Throws:  Left

Scouting report:  Fastball sits at 90-92, topping out at 95.  In four professional seasons, fastball has increased movement leading to command issues.  Has two speeds for his curveball, 70-72 and 76 mph.  Slider sits around 84, just started throwing it mid-2015

Outlook:  High school top picks can be risky propositions and Ball’s numbers reflect that.  In his first full season of 2014, struggled to a 4.68 ERA as a 19 year old but was still promoted to High A Salem where he has pitched for the last two seasons.  In 2016, he missed time with a knee injury which limited him to 117 innings after 129 innings in 2015.  Walks are a definite issue, rising from 3.5 per nine innings  in 2014 to 4.2 in 2015 to 5.2 in 2016.

AFL Goals:  Increase innings load.  As a pitcher who has only started in the minors, he is being developed to do that in the majors.  He needs to improve his command going forward as the team is likely to try to push him forward to AA next season.  At 22, he is still developing physically so the team is giving him all the reps it can to keep moving him in a positive direction.

Jalen Beeks

Acquired:  2014 12th round draft choice from the University of Arkansas

DOB:  7-10-93

Ht. 5-11 Wt 195 Throws Left

Scouting Report:  Something of a Robbie Ross-type build, undersized but stocky.  His fastball sits at 91-93, able to dial it up to 95 at times, much like Ross.  He has a two seam fastball that sits in the high 80s which can be effective against lefties.  Slider is thrown in the mid 80s.  Changeup and curve in his mix of pitches as well.  Watching video, his arm motion reminds me of Ubaldo Jimenez, the ball held behind is torso until coming around toward the plate.  Beeks has a twist in his motion which also can create deception.

Outlook:  An elbow injury in his junior year caused him to fall to the 12th round.  This teammate of Andrew Benintendi at Arkansas started the season at High A Salem where he posted a 3.07 ERA in 13 starts, before his promotion to AA Portland.  At Portland, he logged 13 starts, posting a 4.68 ERA.  He had a six start run of 10 earned runs over 33 innings spanning late June to early August.  He may have run out of gas at the end of the year, allowing 13 runs in his last 19 innings (6.13 ERA).

AFL Goals  Beeks is the oldest of the Red Sox prospects going to the AFL in 2016. According to soxprospects.com, Beeks is going to be used as a reliever in Arizona to gauge his value in that role.  52 of his 54 professional appearances have come out of the bullpen.  The Red Sox might be looking at Beeks as a weapon like Ross (3.25 ERA in 2016) who can throw hard despite his short stature.  Beeks’ unusual twisting motion might play well out of the pen and could increase his velocity if he is used only in short bursts.

Jamie Callahan

Acquired:  2012 second round draft choice out of high school in South Carolina

DOB:  8-24-94

Ht. 6-2  Wt. 230  Throws Right

Scouting Report:  Athletic projectable frame who may fill out more in the upper body.  Over the top motion with smooth delivery that speeds up toward the end.  Fastball in the low 90s, can touch 96.  Was a South Carolina University commit before signing with Red Sox.  Throws a 12 to 6 curveball that may be his best pitch.

Outlook:  After a disastrous 2014 which saw him post a 6.96 ERA in 25 starts, he improved to a 4.53 ERA at Low A Greenville after making only six starts out of 31 appearances.  The bullpen seems the place for him as he posted a 3.29 ERA this season exclusively out of the ‘pen in 2016.  Over 65.2 innings, he struck out 63 batters but also walked 38, allowing just 53 hits and a .218 batting average against.

AFL Goals:   The AFL might be an audition for him and a showcase for other teams because Callahan would be eligible for the Rule Five draft if not added to the 40 man roster by November 20. Callahan has been slow developing which can be the case with high school draftees.  If he can continue his 2016 improvement this year, perhaps he might be considered for a spot in 2017 or 2018 at the latest.  Since he doesn’t have eye-popping stats or off the charts physical tools, he isn’t likely to be chosen in the Rule 5 draft anyway,  but perhaps another team might think differently when they see him in Arizona.