Boston Red Sox pitchers: Who will trend up or down?

Oct 7, 2016; Cleveland, OH, USA; Boston Red Sox starting pitcher David Price (24) pitches against the Cleveland Indians in the first inning in game two of the 2016 ALDS playoff baseball series at Progressive Field. Mandatory Credit: David Richard-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 7, 2016; Cleveland, OH, USA; Boston Red Sox starting pitcher David Price (24) pitches against the Cleveland Indians in the first inning in game two of the 2016 ALDS playoff baseball series at Progressive Field. Mandatory Credit: David Richard-USA TODAY Sports
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Jun 29, 2016; St. Petersburg, FL, USA; Boston Red Sox relief pitcher Heath Hembree (37) walks back to the dugout during the seventh inning against the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. Tampa Bay Rays defeated the Boston Red Sox 4-0. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
Jun 29, 2016; St. Petersburg, FL, USA; Boston Red Sox relief pitcher Heath Hembree (37) walks back to the dugout during the seventh inning against the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. Tampa Bay Rays defeated the Boston Red Sox 4-0. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The alt-Kelly’s is also in the bullpen and – like Kelly – have a calling card that is a fastball and that is Heath Hembree and Matt Barnes. Hembree does not have the velocity (93.5) that Kelly possesses (96.7) nor does he get that ever fortuitous ground ball (33.7% career) and his ERA (2.65) may be misleading in comparison to his xFIP (4.36), but that will certainly not stop me for there is something there that I like.

Hembree will not be a significant bullpen piece and I am realist enough to recognize that. The numbers game with arms and the fact that Barnes may have the inside track could make Hembree expendable. What will happen – if Hembree sticks – is some important contributions that will be vital. Just a hunch, but I find it difficult to give up on a pitcher who was once quite valued by the Giants – an organization that knows pitching.

Barnes was a number one draft pick and maybe patience with his development will win out? Last season Barnes appeared in 62 games and registered 16 holds – if you place any credence in that statistical gem.

Barnes throws hard (96.6/2016) and that results in a very attractive K/9 of 9.59, but like far too many young pitchers Barnes has a wee bit of location issues with a BB/9 of 4.19. Barnes also gave up 62 hits in his 66.2 innings and that when combined with 31 walks explains a matching ERA and xFIP of 4.05. This season I expect the consistency to appear.

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