“Short rest” starters in Post-season?

When a Post-season series comes down to the final game or two, managers may be desperate enough to pitch a starter on “short rest.”  If a pitcher pitches with less than his normal 4 or 5 days of rest, do they succeed?

bloody_sock 2Happily, Zachary D. Rymer (MLB Lead Writer) at Bleacher Report ran the numbers.

“Sure, Curt Schilling was basically a god on short rest twice in the 2001 postseason. We all remember Josh Beckett’s series-clinching shutout in the 2003 World Series. The last two starts on short rest turned in by Hiroki Kuroda and Kershaw have been terrific.

But of the 54 starts listed, only 14 resulted in a game score of 60 or better. I also counted only 23 quality starts. Over half of these 54 outings were non-quality starts, which is obviously not what a team is looking for in these situations.

And now for the portion of the program in which we add it all up:

Postseason Starts on Short Rest, 2000-2013
Starts IP ERA WHIP K/9 BB/9 H/9 HR/9 Avg. GSc Team Record
54 287.0 4.80 1.42 8.2 3.5 9.2 1.1 48.7 20-34

Baseball-Reference.com

The K/9 here could be worse, but the other numbers aren’t very ace-like. A 4.80 ERA is the mark of, at best, an average collection of starters. The same goes for the walk, hit and home run numbers, and that collective game score of 48.7 is a step down from the starting point of 50.”

For his study, Mr. Rymer relied on Baseball-Reference.com:

Postseason Starts on Short Rest, 2000-2013
Player Date IP ER K BB H HR GSc Result
Clayton Kershaw 10/7/2013 6 0 6 1 3 0 67 W
Hiroki Kuroda 10/14/2012 7.2 3 11 0 5 0 68 L
Chris Carpenter 10/28/2011 6 2 5 2 6 0 55 W
Chris Carpenter 10/2/2011 3 4 2 3 5 0 32 W
Zack Greinke 10/2/2011 5 4 7 0 8 3 42 W
C.J. Wilson 9/30/2011 5 6 6 1 7 3 30 L
Derek Lowe 10/11/2010 6.1 2 8 2 2 1 65 L
Andy Pettitte 11/4/2009 5.2 3 3 5 4 1 47 W
A.J. Burnett 11/2/2009 2 6 2 4 4 1 22 L
CC Sabathia 11/1/2009 6.2 1 6 3 7 1 51 W
CC Sabathia 10/20/2009 8 1 5 2 5 1 71 W
Derek Lowe 10/13/2008 5 2 4 1 5 0 50 L
CC Sabathia 10/2/2008 3.2 5 5 4 6 1 30 L
James Shields 10/2/2008 6.1 3 4 1 6 1 52 W
Chien-Ming Wang 10/8/2007 1 4 0 0 5 1 27 L
Ted Lilly 10/4/2007 3.1 6 4 4 7 1 22 L
Oliver Perez 10/19/2006 6 1 4 2 4 0 62 L
Paul Byrd 10/11/2005 6 2 1 1 5 1 54 W
John Lackey 10/9/2005 5.2 1 6 4 2 0 63 L
Tim Hudson 10/9/2005 7 3 5 1 6 0 57 L
Matt Morris 10/24/2004 4.1 4 3 4 4 0 38 L
Derek Lowe 10/20/2004 6 1 3 1 1 0 68 W
Kevin Brown 10/20/2004 1.1 5 1 2 4 1 25 L
Brandon Backe 10/13/2004 4.2 4 6 2 5 1 42 L
Roy Oswalt 10/11/2004 5 2 4 3 7 2 46 W
Roger Clemens 10/10/2004 5 2 5 2 6 0 50 L
Johan Santana 10/9/2004 5 1 7 3 5 0 57 L
Josh Beckett 10/25/2003 9 0 9 2 5 0 84 W
Andy Pettitte 10/19/2003 8.2 0 7 1 6 0 76 W
Mark Redman 10/19/2003 2.1 4 2 2 5 1 31 L
Barry Zito 10/6/2003 6 4 4 2 4 2 50 L
Mike Hampton 10/5/2003 6.2 4 7 1 7 2 50 L
Russ Ortiz 10/4/2003 5 2 2 4 7 1 43 W
Tim Wakefield 10/2/2003 6 3 7 3 4 0 52 L
Mike Hampton 10/1/2003 6 2 9 5 4 0 60 W
John Lackey 10/27/2002 5 1 4 1 4 0 58 W
Kevin Millwood 10/7/2002 5 2 7 0 4 1 58 L
Mark Mulder 10/6/2002 7 2 9 1 9 0 59 L
Tom Glavine 10/6/2002 2.2 7 1 5 7 1 12 L
Jarrod Washburn 10/5/2002 5 1 2 1 6 0 50 W
Tim Hudson 10/5/2002 3.1 2 4 2 5 0 34 L
Tom Glavine 10/2/2002 5 6 3 2 10 0 24 L
Curt Schilling 11/4/2001 7.1 2 9 0 6 1 67 W
Curt Schilling 10/31/2001 7 1 9 1 3 1 75 L
Tom Glavine 10/21/2001 5 1 3 3 5 1 49 L
Greg Maddux 10/20/2001 3 4 2 0 8 0 25 L
Freddy Garcia 10/18/2001 7.1 3 6 4 7 0 54 L
Aaron Sele 10/17/2001 6 3 3 3 7 1 46 L
Jamie Moyer 10/15/2001 6 1 6 1 3 0 67 W
Chuck Finley 10/15/2001 4.1 2 7 4 4 0 50 L
Wade Miller 10/9/2001 7 2 6 0 7 1 61 L
Andy Pettitte 10/8/2000 3.2 5 4 2 10 0 23 W
Roger Clemens 10/7/2000 5 6 5 4 6 1 32 L
Jim Parque 10/3/2000 6 3 2 1 6 1 49 L

Baseball-Reference.com

 

Topics: "short Rest", Curt Schilling, Postseason, Starters

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  • Rick M

    I remember Louie tossing a gazillion pitches in the 1975 WS. Seems like pitch counts go out the window in playoffs and managers go old school. You will see closers brought in early.

    I am a firm believer in the “Hot Hand” approach. Guy comes in and tosses a clean 7th you roll him out for the 8th.

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